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Strategy (MSTR) | MCC Quantitative Due Diligence.
Strategy (MSTR) quantified: 4 desk DCA zones, an $870.53 price target, beta 1.31 to Bitcoin, 10,000 Monte Carlo paths, and a downloadable 24-page institutional report.
Zaid Khan
Aug 301 min read


Strategy (MSTR) Investment Mandate
A mandate is not permission to buy. Spot at $127.31 sits 18.1 percent above the first acquisition zone at $107.79, so no order fills and none is placed. Capital action WATCH / NO ACTION. The full execution architecture is published anyway: three zones at 40/35/25, a $45.72 hard stop on a weekly close, a weighted cost basis of $76.84 at full fill, reward to risk of 25.5 to 1, and a maximum loss of 0.81 percent of book. Nine execution gates, none passed. Status CONDITIONAL, NOT
Zaid Khan
Aug 301 min read


Strategy (MSTR) | MCC Quantitative Analysis
Stage 02 asked what MSTR is. Stage 03 asks what it does to a portfolio. Maximum drawdown of 82.6 percent against a 25 percent hard cap, never recovered after 646 days. Volatility 76.5 percent, daily 99 percent expected shortfall -12.26 percent, beta to bitcoin 1.295 but ranging 0.68 to 1.83. MSTR underperformed its own beta by 26.2 points in a year. Nine sizing methods span 2.0 to 13.1 percent of book; the tail-based ones converge on 1.0 to 2.5 percent. Disposition ADVANCE WI
Zaid Khan
Aug 301 min read


Strategy (MSTR) | MCC Quantitative Research
Strategy trades 65.1 percent below its 52 week high with the premium to book compressed to 1.044x. Every Manhattan Crypto Capital acquisition zone sits below book value: DCA1 $107.79 at 0.884x, DCA2 $79.88 at 0.655x, DCA3 $50.80 at 0.416x. The June low stopped 2.42 percent above DCA2 and reversed. Scenario returns to the $870.53 desk target run plus 708 percent in the worst case to plus 939 percent if all three zones fill. MCC score 51 of 100, Cautious. Classification CANDIDA
Zaid Khan
Aug 301 min read


IonQ (IONQ) | MCC Quantitative Research
IonQ (IONQ) trades 49% below its 52-week high with Q2 earnings hours away. Full MCC Quantitative Research: a 10,000-path Monte Carlo simulation, backtests, and desk-validated levels - DCA levels 38.60 / 33.13 / 26.00-30.50, primary target 49.40. MCC Quantitative Score 52/100. Eight charts. Hypothetical results, research only.
Zaid Khan
Aug 51 min read


IonQ (IONQ) Quantum Computing
IonQ (IONQ) has corrected 72.127% from its cycle highs to $38.85, bringing BZ1 at $36.57 within 5.9% of current price. MCC quant research maps three buy zones, resistance at $85 and $105, a $133.48 price target, and 265% to 660% ROI scenarios across an 18 to 36 month quantum computing horizon.
Zaid Khan
Aug 514 min read


Ethereum / U.S. Dollar (ETH/USD)
Ethereum at $1,906.69 has broken its downtrend and formed an ascending recovery channel. Our institutional read: the Fibonacci roadmap to a $2,424 target and the buy zones that define disciplined accumulation.
Zaid Khan
Jul 3013 min read
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